This market will resolve to Yes if, by 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2035, a self-driving ride-hailing service is commercially available to the general public in a service area covering at least 2,137 square kilometers (30% of the GTA's total land area).
To meet the criteria, the service must:
Be autonomous: Vehicles must operate without a human safety driver present in the vehicle.
Be a ride-hailing service: Any member of the general public must be able to request a ride on-demand through a publicly available application.
Cover the required area: The service's operational zone, as defined by the service provider, must meet the specified land area requirement. The zone does not need to be a single contiguous area.
Clarifications
The Greater Toronto Area (GTA) is defined as the City of Toronto and the regional municipalities of Durham, Halton, Peel, and York, totaling 7,124 sq km.
"General public" means the service cannot be an invite-only beta, a pilot program restricted to a select group, or an employee-only service. It must be open for any adult to sign up and use.
If there is a waitlist, there needs to be evidence people are being admitted with less than a month's wait.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from the service provider(s), such as official service maps, press releases, or terms of service.
1,000