Will Tesla have more autonomous vehicles providing raidhailing than Waymo on Jan 2nd 2027
13
1kṀ14912027
53%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Credible sources. Cars in the US. On their ride hailing app.
Update 2025-06-25 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has stated they will resolve this market to N/A (refunding all mana) if traders are upset with the resolution.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will Waymo and Uber die due to Tesla Robotaxi Service by 2028
Will there be credible reports of more than 20 Tesla robotaxis in concurrent operation on Jul 1st 2025?
20% chance
Will Tesla have driverless ride-hailing in the US by end of year?
47% chance
Tesla has more fully autonomous rides than Waymo in 2026?
48% chance
Will Tesla launch level 4 robotaxis this summer?
69% chance
Will Tesla's first robotaxi fare be sold by the end of 2026?
81% chance
Will Tesla have more fully autonomous rides in 2025 than Waymo?
10% chance
Will Tesla's first robotaxi fare be sold by the end of 2025?
80% chance
Tesla completes 100,000+ rideshare rides per week before April 2026?
19% chance
Will Tesla have a fleet of at least N robotaxis actively operating by the end of 2026?