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Will a social network be blocked in Brazil in 2026?
13
Ṁ100Ṁ1.6k
2027
63%
chance

The Supreme Federal Court is Brazil’s highest court and has the authority to issue orders affecting internet platforms and social media services operating in the country.

In recent years, justices of the court have issued orders requiring platforms to remove accounts, restrict content, or comply with legal investigations related to misinformation, illegal activities, or threats to democratic institutions. In some cases, courts have also ordered internet service providers to block access to specific platforms if they fail to comply with judicial decisions.

This market asks whether any justice of the Brazilian Supreme Federal Court (STF) will order the blocking or suspension of a social media platform in Brazil before the specified deadline.

Resolution Criteria

This market resolves YES if:

  • Any justice of the Supreme Federal Court issues a judicial order that blocks or requires ISPs to block access to a social media platform in Brazil.

This market resolves NO if:

  • No such order is issued before the deadline.

Resolution will rely on official court decisions or reporting from major news outlets.

Edited Version:

Resolution Criteria

This market resolves YES if:

  • Any justice of the Supreme Federal Court issues a judicial order that blocks or requires ISPs to block access to a social media platform in Brazil.

  • Any President in charge.

  • Any Judge in Brazil.

This market resolves NO if:

  • No such order is issued before the deadline.

Resolution will rely on official court decisions or reporting from major news outlets.

  • Update 2026-05-21 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The resolution criteria has been expanded. The market now resolves YES if a blocking order is issued by:

    • Any justice of the Supreme Federal Court (STF)

    • Any President in charge of Brazil

    • Any Brazilian Judge

  • Update 2026-05-21 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator is considering expanding the resolution criteria beyond STF justices to include any President in charge or any Judge in Brazil who orders a social media block. This is already reflected in the edited description, meaning the market may resolve YES if any of these authorities issue a blocking order, not just STF justices.

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Should we add more people in charge that can block any social media?. Comment bellow.

Edited Version from today 21 May of 2026. It Includes any president in charge or any Brazillian Judge.

Should we add more people in charge that can block any social media?. Comment bellow.

@lovecraft I have a serious question regarding what is considered “official” and what is not. Brazil has different prosecution and enforcement methods that are officially recognized. We also have to acknowledge that, if Brazil enters any war or major conflict, social media content could potentially be treated as enemy influence and that could be blocked.

opened a Ṁ400 NO at 69% order

@traders More YES shares available at 69%

boughtṀ25YES
bought Ṁ10 YES

brazilian supreme court is getting increasingly more authoritarian to hide their corruption scandals , I believe they might ban twitter or WhatsApp at the election date

@Gugra fun fact: this website could be blocked (as this is kinda a "social media").

opened aṀ505YES at 55% order

@a smartbot