Brazil outlaws racial identity verification panels before 2030?

100Ṁ10

2031

55%

chance

ALL

Background

Brazil has a complex history with racial identity and classification. The country has been working on addressing racial inequalities through various policies, including affirmative action programs for education and employment that sometimes require racial identity verification. Currently, Brazil mandates self-declaration of race and ethnicity in employment records through the eSocial system to help identify social inequalities and formulate public policies.

Some Brazilian universities and public service positions use "verification panels" (also called "racial verification committees" or "heteroidentification commissions") to validate the racial self-declarations of candidates applying through affirmative action quotas. These panels visually assess whether applicants who self-identify as Black or Brown (Pardo) appear to match their declared racial identity.

Resolution Criteria

This market resolves to YES if, before January 1, 2030, Brazil's federal government enacts legislation or the Supreme Federal Court issues a ruling that explicitly prohibits or outlaws the use of racial identity verification panels/committees in all contexts (education, employment, public service, etc.) throughout the country.

The market resolves to NO if by December 31, 2029, Brazil has not enacted such legislation or if racial verification panels remain legal in any capacity.