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MANIFOLD
UK Prime Minister after Andy Burnham
26
Ṁ5kṀ6k
2060
25%
Nigel Farage
17%
Other
13%
Kemi Badenoch
7%
Wes Streeting
5%
Angela Rayner
4%
James Cleverly
3%
David Miliband
3%
Robert Jenrick
3%
David Lammy
3%
Rachel Reeves
2%
Sadiq Khan
2%
Yvette Cooper
2%
Tom Tugendhat
1.8%
Rupert Lowe
1.8%
Shabana Mahmood
1.5%
John Healey
1.4%
Alistair Carns
1.2%
Lucy Powell

Who will be UK Prime Minister after Kier Starmer’s successor?

FEEL FREE TO ADD OTHER NAMES

Resolution criteria

This market resolves to the name of the individual who becomes UK Prime Minister after Keir Starmer's successor leaves office. Keir Starmer has served as Prime Minister since 2024, and the market will resolve when the Prime Minister who succeeds Starmer eventually departs and is replaced by another individual.

Resolution will be determined by official UK government records at gov.uk, which lists the current Prime Minister. The market resolves to the name of whoever holds the office at that time.

This description was drafted by AI.

Market context
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Wait, how does this work?

@RaymondChristopherTanto this market was created a while ago, before Andy Burnham was PM. (The title was originally “Keir Starmer’s successor”). So back then it was possible Andy B could have been PM after someone else in between succeeding Starmer. Now, that is impossible, so this option will definitely resolve No.