In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
18
Ṁ1.4KṀ290
2028
46%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Amount
Ṁ0
Ṁ50
Ṁ100
Payout if YES
Ṁ21 +113.0%
New probability
48% +1.8%
IE "make me a 120 minute Star Trek / Star Wars crossover". It should be more or less comparable to a big-budget studio film, although it doesn't have to pass a full Turing Test as long as it's pretty good. The AI doesn't have to be available to the public, as long as it's confirmed to exist.
Get Ṁ500 play money
Related questions
Related questions
In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
Scott Alexander
Will a text prompt based AI music generator that most of the time cannot be told apart from human musicians be publicly available by the end of 2023?

Nick Heinonen
Will an AI art generator be trained that uses only public domain and Creative Commons images by the end of 2023?
Lars Doucet
Will it be possible for AI to generate reasonably good video ads by 2024?

Vincent Luczkow
By 2024 will any AI be able to watch a movie and accurately tell you what is going on? (Based on Vincent Luczkow's 2029 market)

Victor Levoso
Will there be realistic AI generated video from natural language descriptions by the start of 2024?

Vincent Luczkow
Will we have end to end AI generated anime series by the end of 2024?
firstuserhere
Will there be realistic AI generated video with dialogue by 2024?

Vincent Luczkow
By 2028, will AI be able to make a full animated movie with consistent plot, design and characters with no input besides the original prompt?
Chana Messinger
Will any AI model generate image of correct QWERTY keyboard consistently, to a prompt, by the end of 2024? ($1000M sub)
firstuserhere
Multi year: Will an AI be able to generate a full high quality movie to a prompt?
firstuserhere
In 2028, will an AI be able to play randomly selected computer games at human level without getting to practice?
Scott Alexander
Will we have end to end AI generated anime series by the end of 2025?
firstuserhere
In 2028, will an AI be able to play randomly-selected computer games at human level, given the chance to train via self-play?
Scott Alexander
Will Kurzgesagt release a video specifically about the AI Alignment Problem before the end of 2024?
Harlan Stewart
Will I spend over $50 on AI music generation in 2023?

Tetra
AI Movies by 2024

Gigacasting
AI commentary for an entire golf game by 2025 end?
firstuserhere
Will AI be able to generate an interactive web front-end by the end of 2024?
Alex Mizrahi
Will I be able to ask an AI assistant to 3d print a lid for a bottle by the end of 2023?
Kaivu