Will AI make an unambiguously novel scientific discovery in 2026?
9
100Ṁ4332026
72%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
At EOY 2026 I will ask @Bayesian , @TimothyJohnson5c16 , @Joshua , @Ziddletwix , and @nikki whether they believe it has. If after a week any disagree this question will resolve NO. Otherwise, it will resolve YES.
If any of the users is unreachable, they will not be taken into account for the resolution.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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