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MANIFOLD
Will AI contribute novel theorywork to agent foundations before 2028?
1
แน€1kแน€150
2027
35%
chance

Resolves YES if either John Wentworth, Thane Ruthenis, or David Lorell publicly states something to the effect of "AI did something novel/surprising/non-obvious" regarding their own or field-adjacent agent-foundations work, ORN. If ambiguous, I will personally message the named people for them to resolve this market on their own. If I couldn't reach out to them, or they somehow disagree with each other, I will resolve N/A.

I may modify this market's description within 48 hours after market creation

context: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/gko3r6hvkSXrbDFPD/ai-for-agent-foundations-etc?commentId=JgyrFpenpLukwrqhq

Market context
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