Will Alexei Navalny die in a plane crash? by 2030

470Ṁ8488

resolved Feb 19

Resolved

ALL

Get

1,000

to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#	Name	Total profit
1		Ṁ52
2		Ṁ40
3		Ṁ30
4		Ṁ18
5		Ṁ8

People are also trading

Will Sergey Surovikin die in a plane crash? by 2026

12% chance

Will Putin die in a plane crash?

8% chance

Will there be a plane crash with ≥100 victims in Russia in 2025?

11% chance

Will Putin die before 2030?

28% chance

By EOY 2025, will anyone die on a plane flight as a result of incendiary devices planted by Russia?

15% chance

Will we find that Putin was secretly already dead (before 2020) by 2030?

2% chance

Will Lukashenko die in a plane crash?

13% chance

Was Alexei Navalny killed [see description]?

74% chance

Will Vladimir Putin be alive at the end of 2030?

69% chance

Will Vladimir Putin still be alive at the beginning of 2030?

Sort by:

Based on what are you going to decide it? Russian authorities haven't released a cause of death yet. What do you do if they say he died in a plane crash?

@CertaintyOfVictory Sorry, I forgot about this market and missed the notifications somehow. If you hadn't commented I probably would have just resolved NO. Do you think I shouldn't?

@jskf Oh no, I think it's almost certain he didn't die in a plane crash. I was more musing how cases like this could be decided if the "official explanation" of the Russian government is obviously nonsense.

@CertaintyOfVictory I appreciate your thinking ; Made me realize when scanning markets after our exchange that there are many markets out there Russia related that need some clearing up! Ty!