By EOY 2025, will anyone die on a plane flight as a result of incendiary devices planted by Russia?
Basic
3
Ṁ1502026
14%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves according to mainstream media. If mainstream media blame Russia, resolves YES, although if things are unclear, I will wait to resolve this question.
As the resolution may be subjective or unclear, I will not trade on this question.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will there be another terrorist attack that Russia blames on Ukraine in 2024, causing at least 100 deaths?
20% chance
Will there be >10 deaths in internal conflicts in Russia in 2024?
71% chance
Will there be a plane crash in Russia with ≥100 victims?
17% chance
Will there be a fatal airliner crash in the US before the end of 2024?
12% chance
Will there be a civil war in Russia at any point before EOY 2050?
64% chance
Will there be another spaceflight-related death by 2030?
49% chance
Will more than 1000 people die in an internal conflict in Russia by 2025?
10% chance
Will there be a major aviation accident this year with greater loss of life than 2023?
26% chance
Will any minority pilot on a US airline make a mistake that results in at least one other person's death before 2028?
46% chance
Will Russia shoot down a manned NATO military aircraft before 2025?
14% chance