Will Putin die before 2030?
Standard
25
Ṁ20632031
35%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and1.00
Sort by:
@JonathanRay that is based on the US and Russian males have 6 years less life expectancy. (77 vs 71) But my hunch is that the class effect is larger than the country effect. Rich men everywhere probably have a life expectancy above 80
Related questions
Related questions
Will Vladimir Putin still be alive at the beginning of 2030?
60% chance
When will Putin die?
Will Vladimir Putin be alive at the end of 2030?
53% chance
Will Vladimir Putin be alive at the end of 2037?
37% chance
Will Vladimir Putin be the leader of Russia at the end of 2030?
33% chance
Will Vladimir Putin be alive at the end of 2034?
47% chance
Will Vladimir Putin be alive at the end of 2035?
40% chance
Will Vladimir Putin be alive at the end of 2031?
49% chance
Will Vladimir Putin be alive at the end of 2033?
54% chance
Will Putin die in office?
77% chance