
Mainstream media only. They would include NPR, New York Post, CNN, MSNBC, Fox, The Times, BBC, The Guardian etc.
We will go by mainstream consensus on whether the protests caused property damage. Just 1 outlet reporting would not suffice.
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@LukasDay Of course the close date is moved. The entire market hinges on there being protests against Trump's arrest, which is yet to happen.
@johnleoks - So for clarification, the market specifies protests of Trumps imminent arrests which seems to imply the question is about property damage from protests BEFORE Trump's arrest.
What about property damage that occur from protests that occur AFTER Trump's arrest? Would those protests be excluded from this market's consideration? Arguably they're no longer protests against Trump's imminent arrest - the arrest would have already happened.
@LukasDay The spirit of the market is:
Trump gets arrested > Protests happen (or not) > See if there are property damages
@johnleoks I’m still confused. Is there a timeframe between each step beyond which this resolves NO? Does this restart if he gets arrested again?
@FedorBeets no. "Trump has asked his supporters to protest his imminent arrest." That is describing the situation. It isn't a condition that needs to be met for this market.
@FedorBeets No. If there is no protest, then there is no property damage, which means the market would resolve NO.
@MarkIngraham What is the arrest going to look like? Do you guys think trump will be vibing in the holding cell with his secret service detail?
I don’t know how they will manage it but I doubt it’ll be protest worthy. I don’t even expect a good photo op
@MarkIngraham leftoids standback and standby.. also rightoids... standback and standby...
deescalated. EZ
@MarkIngraham They can’t risk him actually being harmed or even being remotely unsafe, as the country is bound to protect him for life. Dude will be no more of a prisoner than he already is - constantly surrounded by guards, except they might actually have to keep an eye on him as well