
In November 2023, the Washington Post reported:
"Donald Trump and his allies have begun mapping out specific plans for using the federal government to punish critics and opponents should he win a second term, with the former president naming individuals he wants to investigate or prosecute and his associates drafting plans to potentially invoke the Insurrection Act on his first day in office to allow him to deploy the military against civil demonstrations." (https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2023/11/05/trump-revenge-second-term/)
This market resolves YES if, during 2025, Donald Trump invokes the Insurrection Act to use the American military to forcibly suppress protests. Otherwise, it resolves NO. If the Insurrection Act is invoked only for a reason unrelated to protesting Trump's presidency (eg. in response to a military attack by China), it resolves NO.
The Insurrection Act has been invoked 13 times in the last century, most recently in 1992 during the Rodney King riots (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Insurrection_Act_of_1807). The Trump administration discussed using it during the protests of 2020, but did not officially do so.
If Donald Trump does not serve as President during 2025, this market resolves N/A.