Will the first AGI be created by an LK-99 Main-Market YES holder?
17
162Ṁ17842222
10%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If something widely considered to be the first AGI is made by someone who can reasonably be described as a YES holder in the main LK-99 market, this resolves YES. Otherwise, it resolves NO.
For example, having held YES at one point would not automatically qualify a person. If he would be more accurately described as a NO holder, this market would not resolve YES.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
What organization will be the first to create AGI?
Will humans create AGI, either directly or indirectly, within the next 24 months?
7% chance
Will we get AGI before July 1st 2025?
3% chance
Will AI create the first AGI?
41% chance
Which company will create AGI first?
Which company will achieve the "weak AGI"?
Will the first AGI be an LLM that emulates Nobel-prize-worthy scientific research?
26% chance
When will the first AGI company get nationalized?
What will be true about the first AGI that becomes accessible to everyone? [ADD MORE]
Will we get AGI before 1M humanoid robots are manufactured?
66% chance