Will Manifold Markets still exist in a decade? (Jan 2, 2034)
19
65
Ṁ980Ṁ330
2034
50%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
By "exist" I mean at a minimum the betting functionality of the site, with at least 5k users placing a bet in the span of the month prior.
(Per https://www.nytimes.com/2023/10/08/technology/prediction-markets-manifold-manifest.html there are 43k users on the site as of Oct 2023)
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
Will any Manifold markets created in 2023 be resolved in 2050 by the original author?
78% chance
Will Manifold support decision markets by the end of 2024?
43% chance
Will there be a Manifold Markets competitor before 2025?
78% chance
Will Manifold be profitable before 2030?
46% chance
Will Manifold be profitable before 2040?
64% chance
Will Manifold Markets still be popular at the end of 2026?
78% chance
Will Manifold be acquired by end of 2030?
68% chance
Will Manifold "be around" in 20 years?
38% chance
How many Manifold markets will close on January 1st, 2030?
Will Manifold allow you to combine markets by the end of 2024?
20% chance