Resolution criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pierre Poilievre resigns as leader of the Conservative Party of Canada (CPC) on or before May 31, 2025. The market will resolve to "No" if he remains in his position beyond this date. Official announcements from the Conservative Party or credible news sources will serve as the basis for resolution.
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| 1 | αΉ1,341 | |
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Poilievre still shows up as the leader of the CCP here, and there are no news of his resignation. Resolving to NO
BTW market was copied on Polymarket and is trading at 3%
https://polymarket.com/event/pierre-poilievre-resigns-as-leader-of-conservatives-before-june
Prime Minister Mark Carney says he will quickly call a byelection for Conservative Party of Canada Leader Pierre Poilievre as an incoming Alberta MP has announced heβll step aside.
https://toronto.citynews.ca/2025/05/02/pierre-poilievre-mark-carney-byelection-call/
https://globalnews.ca/news/11158969/pierre-poilievre-leadership-mps-backing-conservatives/
Amanda Galbraith, a partner at Oyster Group and a former adviser to Harper, said there appears to be enough support for Poilievre to allow him to stay on as leader.
βI think thereβs a really strong desire, at least from all the folks that I talk to on the ground, supporters and organizers, that they want Pierre to stay on,β she said.
βI honestly have not heard any rumblings about anyone wanting him removed.β
Likely that he will stay on and run in a special election to officially be a party leader in the House of Commons.
With one station reporting, Poilievre is trailing in his own riding.