Will Pierre Poilievre have a Political Comeback? 🇨🇦🏛️👀 | Manifold

Will Pierre Poilievre have a Political Comeback? 🇨🇦🏛️👀

16

Ṁ100Ṁ958

2035

32%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

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Resolution criteria:

A 'comeback' defined as:

Winning his seat back
Becoming Prime Minister

No particular time limit is placed on resolution besides it happening within Pierre's lifetime.

Update 2025-05-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - To satisfy the 'Winning his seat back' criterion, Pierre Poilievre must specifically win back the Carleton seat. Winning a different seat (e.g., a seat in Alberta) will not fulfill this particular condition for a comeback.

Market context

Canadian Politics

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He's about to win a seat back. Does he need to win back Carleton for you to consider that a comeback.

@chris Yep, he’d need to win Carleton back.

Winning the Alberta seat doesnt seem as significant as, from my understanding, it’s more of a conservative stronghold.

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