Resolves YES if North Korea test launches a Hwasong-17 ICBM. Resolves NO if North Korea conducts a nuclear weapon test. Resolves N/A if neither happens by end of 2025.
Determination will be based on reliable media reporting and/or the following articles (if backed by reliable sources):
If most reporting suspects it was a Hwasong-17, I'll count it (similar to how Wikipedia lists suspected test launches).
Inspired by:
https://www.foxnews.com/world/north-korea-biding-time-before-conducts-7th-nuclear-test-experts-say
I think Kim has been holding off on a nuclear test because he wants to rub it into the U.S. and South Korea with a major Hwasong-17 ICBM test before escalating further with a nuclear test," Sung-Yoon Lee, a professor at the Fletcher School at Tufts University, told Fox News Digital.
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