Will Iran test fire a nuclear weapon before the end of 2026?
20
240Ṁ1007
2027
9%
chance

Resolves YES for the first test that takes place during the market open and close dates.

  • Update 2025-07-16 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified that the market will resolve based on a test occurring before the market close date (Jan 1, 2027), not the date mentioned in the title ('before 2026').

  • Update 2025-07-17 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): In response to user confusion, the creator has confirmed the market covers the period up to the market close date of Jan 1, 2027.

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