Will Iran test fire a nuclear weapon before 2026?
Basic
11
Ṁ3132027
34%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES for the first test that takes place during the market open and close dates.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will Iran conduct a nuclear weapons test by the end of 2025?
16% chance
Will Iran reach the 'weapons-grade' uranium enrichment threshold before 2025?
43% chance
Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2030?
35% chance
Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by 2030?
36% chance
Will Iran acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?
54% chance
Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2040?
56% chance
Will Iran conduct a nuclear weapons test by the end of 2024?
2% chance
Will Iran use Iraq to stage an attack on Israel before the end of 2024?
41% chance
Will Iran declare that they are a nuclear power by the end of 2024?
7% chance
Will Iran possess a nuke before 2025?
5% chance