Each answer resolves YES if that answer is directly named as TIME's Person of the Year for 2024 (either alone or in conjunction with another person or thing). Otherwise NO.

It must be directly named. For example, if the Person of the Year is "Elon Musk and X", then Elon Musk resolves to YES. If, however, the Person of the Year is the "The X Team", then Elon Musk resolves to NO.

Answers in brackets such as [Any Artificial Intelligence] or [The US President] resolve if such entity is named as Person of the Year. More details for those are below.

Anyone can add more answers, but if you wish to add an answer in brackets please ask or suggest it first in the comments - otherwise, it's too easy for them to be ambiguous or confusing, and I may edit or remove them at my discretion.

Details and examples

• Example: if the person of the year is "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" then AI resolves YES while ChatGPT resolves NO. If the POTY is ChatGPT then "Artificial Intelligence" resolves NO. If POTY is "AI Scientists" or "OpenAI", then AI and ChatGPT both resolve NO. If the person of the year is "Sam Altman and ChatGPT", then both of those answers resolve YES while AI resolves NO.

• If Time's cover and other Time webpages have different winners for the Person of the Year, only one of them has to mention the answer as the winner for it to resolve YES.

• The phrase "Person of the Year" (POTY) refers to any Entity of the Year, even if it isn't a person - e.g. in past years TIME has selected a Machine of the Year or Planet of the Year, and that would count for this market the same as a Person of the Year.

• This market resolves after the TIME's Person of the Year is announced by TIME magazine. If for any reason the TIME's Person of the Year is not announced before February 2025 (Eastern time), all answers will resolve to NO.

• It is not necessary for the wording used in TIME's announcement to exactly match the wording of the answer. For example, if they say "Donald J Trump" the answer "Donald Trump" still resolves YES. Or if a person changes their name, the market resolves based on the person, not their name. The resolution is based on the specified person or thing, not based on the exact words used.

Rules for special answers:

• [Any Artificial Intelligence] resolves YES if any AI is named as Person of the Year. Both generic terms for AI, such as "Artificial Intelligence", "Large Language Models", and "Generative AI", and specific AI systems, such as "ChatGPT" and "GPT-4", count as YES. However, "Sam Altman" or "OpenAI" would not count.

• [Any head of state or government, current or former] resolves YES if the person is, or was previously, a head of state or head of government according to https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_current_heads_of_state_and_government. A future head of state or government does not suffice.

• [The winner of the 2024 US Presidential Election] is defined as the person who is called as the winner of the election by the Associated Press, Fox, and NBC if they all call the race for the same person; otherwise the same as https://manifold.markets/jack/who-will-win-the-2024-us-presidenti-8c1c8b2f8964 (i.e. the official Electoral College winner).

• [The 2024 US VP-Elect] is defined the same way but for the winning vice presidential candidate.

Related to https://manifold.markets/BTE/who-will-be-time-magazines-2024-per but there are a few key differences - one issue with the other market is that when multiple answers are named then they resolve equally split (e.g. two resolve to 50% instead of 100%), but if multiple things are named and only one is an answer then it resolves to 100%, so it just makes things a lot more complicated. This market also allows us to use answers like [Any Artificial Intelligence].

2023 market: https://manifold.markets/jack/who-will-be-time-person-of-the-year-62c345c32ec8

Who will be Time Magazine's 2024 Person of the Year?

Resolution criteria same as @Joshua market for 2023. (https://manifold.markets/embed/Joshua/who-will-be-time-person-of-the-year)