Will Time's 2025 Person of the Year be one person?
51
100Ṁ3958
resolved Dec 11
Resolved
NO

Resolves YES if TIME's POTY is exactly one person, not a group or non-person entity, based on the headlining awardee.

As reference:

"Elon Musk" is a single person (Self explanatory).

"Elon Musk and Donald Trump" is not a single person (Self explanatory).

"Grok AI" is not a single person (Must be a human person).

"Elon Musk and Grok AI" is a single person (Grok is not a person, but Elon is, meaning one person has won the award).

"Elon Musk's Department of Government Efficiency" is not a single person (Group of people).

"The Mogul" too ambiguous to resolve based on the headline alone. I would have to read the article to determine intent and resolve.

  • Update 2025-10-17 (PST) (Creator summary of creator comment): "Elon Musk and The Spirit of Service" is a single person (Elon Musk is a person, "The Spirit of Service" is a concept that's shown through several people)

  • Update 2025-10-17 (PST) (Creator comment): "You" was one person.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ612
2Ṁ249
3Ṁ66
4Ṁ49
5Ṁ45
Sort by:

so if AI wins, - the number of persons 0. This will be resolved NO?

@RenaoJedi If JUST AI wins, this resolves NO, that's correct. If it's AI plus exactly one person, it resolves YES; any more and it's back to NO.

@Marnix 0 is different from "less than many"?

Sorry for many questions, need explicitly saud clarification for Ai - is the most possible outcome for person of a year

@RenaoJedi If the person of the year is AI, this resolves NO.

opened a Ṁ250 NO at 63% order

""Elon Musk and Grok AI" is a single person (Grok is not a person, but Elon is)."

Huh? Why would this count?

@bens I'm only counting the people. Elon musk is a person, but Grok AI isn't. If they award it to both Elon and Grok, it'd go to one person and one nonperson, meaning only one person was named person of the year.

@Marnix "it'd go to one person and one nonperson, meaning only one person was named person of the year." AI == 0 persons

@bens Exactly. If it's 1 person + 0 persons, that = 1 person, so it'd resolve yes.

@Marnix if only AI, how it will be resolved NO.

For 2022, would this have resolved yes? Zelenskyy and the spirit of Ukraine. Seems similar to Elon Musk and Grok Ai. Just want to make sure. Thanks.

@JackP Yes, I think so. Zelensky is one person, and the "spirit of ukraine" is a concept that TIME exemplified in the issue through several other people.

© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy