When will the first Starliner astronaut return to earth?
13
1kṀ8183resolved Mar 18
100%95%
2025
0.2%
Aug 4th-Aug 18th, 2024
0.2%
Aug 19th-Sept 1st, 2024
0.6%
Sept 2nd - Sept 15th, 2024
0.4%
Sept 16th - Sept 30th, 2024
0.4%
October 2024
0.4%
November 2024
2%
December 2024
0.5%
2026, or after, or never
This resolves to the calendar day (UTC) that the first of Suni Williams or Butch Wilmore return to Earth alive.
Related questions:
https://manifold.markets/TimothyBandors/will-boeings-starliner-return-with
https://manifold.markets/GordanKnott/what-will-be-true-of-the-boeing-sta
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