If Trump wins, will the US score lower in the 2026 World Press Freedom, Corruption Perceptions AND Democracy Indexes?
15
58
1k
2026
75%
chance

If Trump wins, will the US score lower in the World Press Freedom, Corruption Perceptions AND Democracy Indices?

2023 scores

WPFI - 71.22

Corruption Perceptions Index - 69

Democracy Index - 7.85


Resolve Criteria

Resolves YES if, following the election of Donald Trump, the United States scores lower on ALL three of the World Press Freedom Index, Corruption Perceptions Index, and The Economist Democracy Index when compared to their 2023 values.

Resolves NO if any of the 2026 scores is higher than or equal to their respective 2023 value.

If any of these scores is not published in 2026, I will most likely N/A unless there is a very compelling argument otherwise.

N/A if Donald Trump does not become the President.


These markets are meant to ascertain the risk of increased US authoritarianism in a Donald Trump presidency versus a Joe Biden presidency.

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