If Trump wins, will the US suicide rate decrease between his inauguration and the 2026 Midterms?
34
Ṁ1kṀ1.9kNov 3
33%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Update 2026-01-17 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution will use yearly suicide rate data from the CDC.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
@elderlyunfoldreason I was thinking year, and yeah CDC seems a decent source assuming they release that data
People are also trading
Related questions
Conditional on Trump getting elected, how will the US democracy index have changed by the end of his term.
If Trump wins, will there be an attempt on his life by midterms?
39% chance
If Trump wins, will the US homicide rate decrease?
66% chance
If Trump wins, will abortion rates rise from the 2024 elections to the 2026 midterms?
54% chance
Will there be a greater than 25% chance that America losses democracy status under Trump at midterm elections?
58% chance
Will Trump's approval rating be higher on election day (Nov. 3, 2026) than it was in his first term (Nov. 6, 2018)?
8% chance
If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?
5% chance
If Trump wins, what will the US unemployment rate be at the end of 2026?
44% chance
If Trump wins, will the US score lower in the 2026 World Press Freedom, Corruption Perceptions AND Democracy Indexes?
96% chance
If Trump wins, will the US enter a recession [WARNING: as measured by Sahm rule] before 2027?
12% chance