If Trump won the election, Will the U.S. be more democratic in 2025 than it was in 2022?
31
1kṀ3214Dec 31
5%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If Trump won the election, will the U.S. be more democratic in 2025 than 2022?
This market will resolve YES if the 2025 democracy index for the United States released by the EIU is higher than 7.85, NO if it's less than or equal to 7.85
Resolves NA if Trump didnt win the 2024 presidential election
Economic Intelligence Unit's Democracy Index
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Economist_Democracy_Index
Compare the price against this market to estimate if Trump will worsen Democracy in the US
credit to @PlasmaBallin for inspiring this question
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
Similar market with a couple more indexes and different end year:
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Trump 2.0 be the end of Democracy as we know it?
26% chance
🇺🇸 If Trump wins, will the US electoral democracy index fall below 0.80 by 2025?
76% chance
Will the United States become more authoritarian in 2025?
96% chance
Will the world be more democratic in 2045?
27% chance
Will there be a greater than 25% chance that America losses democracy status under Trump at midterm elections?
27% chance
Will the US be a democracy in 2035?
88% chance
If Trump is elected, will the US still be a liberal democracy at the end of his term? (V-DEM)
65% chance
Conditional on Trump getting elected, how will the US democracy index have changed by the end of his term.
If Trump wins, what will the Democracy Index be for the US at the end of his presidency?
Will the US be a democracy in 2050?
65% chance