If Trump wins, what will the Democracy Index be for the US at the end of his presidency?
8
33
470
2028
16%
<78
17%
78-79
19%
80-81
40%
82-83
4%
84-85
4%
>85

Freedom House scores several aspects of a functioning democracy for each country. Each year they publish a score. The current score for the US (as of the creation of this market) is 83.

https://freedomhouse.org/country/united-states/freedom-world/2024

Clarifications:

1) If the index changes, I will prorate the score.

2) If the index doesn’t exist anymore, market will resolve N/A

3) If Trump doesn’t win, market will resolve N/A

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