If Trump wins, what will the Democracy Index be for the US at the end of his presidency?
Basic
9
Ṁ3852028
14%
<78
15%
78-79
28%
80-81
25%
82-83
10%
84-85
7%
>85
Freedom House scores several aspects of a functioning democracy for each country. Each year they publish a score. The current score for the US (as of the creation of this market) is 83.
https://freedomhouse.org/country/united-states/freedom-world/2024
Clarifications:
1) If the index changes, I will prorate the score.
2) If the index doesn’t exist anymore, market will resolve N/A
3) If Trump doesn’t win, market will resolve N/A
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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