If Biden wins, will the US score lower in the World Press Freedom, Corruption Perceptions AND Democracy Indexes?
2023 scores
WPFI - 71.22
Corruption Perceptions Index - 69
Democracy Index - 7.85
Resolve Criteria
Resolves YES if, following the election of Joe Biden, the United States scores lower on ALL three of the World Press Freedom Index, Corruption Perceptions Index, and The Economist Democracy Index when compared to their 2023 values.
Resolves NO if any of the 2026 scores is higher than or equal to their respective 2023 value.
If any of these scores is not published in 2026, I will most likely N/A unless there is a very compelling argument otherwise.
N/A if Joe Biden does not become the President.
These markets are meant to ascertain the risk of increased US authoritarianism in a Donald Trump presidency versus a Joe Biden presidency.