Will JAXA successfully land SLIM on the moon?

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Ṁ330Ṁ18k

resolved Jan 21

Resolved

YES

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https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Smart_Lander_for_Investigating_Moon

Market context

Space exploration

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predictedYES

@ianminds Please resolve 🙂

predictedYES

@Mqrius imo that resolves it Yes

First hurdle taken https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/technology/japan-launches-slim-moon-lander-xrism-x-ray-telescope-on-space-doubleheader-video/ar-AA1glWFF

This market implicitly predict a much lower success rate. Arbitrage opportunity?

https://manifold.markets/2eb7/which-country-will-make-the-next-su?r=MmViNw

Which country will make the next successful moon landing?

Recent timeline 🇨🇳 ✔️ (2020) 🇷🇺 ❌️ (2023) 🇮🇳 ✔️ (2023) Next possible missions are listed here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_missions_to_the_Moon Likely candidates (sort by launch date) Japan / Aug 27 USA / Nov 15 China / Early 2024 Note: We count only the missions using their own rockets. (eg. Falcon 9 based missions of non-US countries are not counted)

Able to send back telemetry after landing == success.

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