Will Astrobotic Technology's Griffin Mission 1 mission successfully land on the moon?
13
111
250
2025
74%
chance

Astrobotic Technology is a private spaceflight company. The Griffin lander has been contracted by NASA under the Commercial Lunar Payload Services (CLPS) program to build and fly a lander to the surface of the moon. It should launch in late 2024.

For a successful mission the Griffin lander needs to soft-land on the moon, and the payloads on the lander need to be operational.

The Griffin lander is a successor to the Peregrine lander.

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What counts as "operational" for VIPER? Does it need to successfully exit the lander? Transmit data? Some other standard?

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A launch date question might be fun as well.

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