When will be the next US recession
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169
1.3k
2027
11%
Q1-Q2 2024 (Jan-Jun)
27%
Q3-Q4 2024 (Jul-Dec)
23%
Q1-Q2 2025
14%
Q3-Q4 2025
17%
Q1-Q2 2026
34%
Q3-Q4 2026

Based off of https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SAHMREALTIME#:~:text=Sahm%20Recession%20Indicator%20signals%20the,from%20the%20previous%2012%20months.
Will be resolved when one of these times is a recession or if none happen by EOY 2026.

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US or global? What counts as a recession? Must it be formally declared by some body?

@Epsilon US recession