Based off of https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SAHMREALTIME#:~:text=Sahm%20Recession%20Indicator%20signals%20the,from%20the%20previous%2012%20months.
Will be resolved when one of these times is a recession or if none happen by EOY 2026.
Related questions
If I understood correctly, this question doesn't really look at the start of a recession but when the Sahm rule is triggered. This indicator is at 0.43 now (June update). The threshold is 0.5. It's highly likely that we'll go above 0.5 by the end of this year. Would this mark the beginning of a recession? That's a different question...
@love tester I'm definitely feeling some anxiety about the possibility of a recession. I've been through one before, and I know how tough it can be. But I'm also trying to stay positive and focus on the things I can control.