
United States Recession by End of Q4 2025?
48
1kṀ14k2026
12%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if there are two consecutive negative quarters.
https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Based on 'Third Estimate' figures.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will there be a US recession by EOY2025?
14% chance
When will the next US recession be?
United States Recession by End of Q2?
2% chance
United States Recession by End of Q3?
5% chance
US officially enter a recession in 2024? (NBER)
3% chance
US Recession in 2025?
16% chance
Will the US experience a recession during 2026?
35% chance
Will the US enter a recession by the end of 2025?
13% chance
Did the US enter a recession before the end of 2024?
2% chance
Will the US enter a recession by end of 2025? (Two quarters negative GDP growth)
15% chance