Will @firstuserhere coauthor a NeurIPS or ICML conference publication before end of 2024? (10,000 Mana subsidy)
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102
แน€380k
resolved Oct 1
Resolved
NO

I am incentivized to try and resolve this as YES. I will be betting in this market as well. I've left a 30,000 Mana limit order at 30% as a baseline.

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Resolving No based on the comment thread from @AlexbGoode and @Ziddletwix

boughtแน€50,000NO

@Joshua is this really the best use of the mod message?

@mods This can resolve no. I asked fuh on discord and his paper didn't get in.

@AlexbGoode it looks like he was a coauthor on a poster. that doesn't count as a 'publication' imo but i'll wait a day to see if anyone disagrees

sold แน€6,841 NO

@jacksonpolack can you be more specific? Most NeurIPS papers are called "poster," as opposed to "spotlight" or "oral" acceptances.

it says 2024 https://icml.cc/virtual/2024/36410

anyway I'm not gonna resolve it because i have a position from a year ago

@jacksonpolack cs is not my area so i might not be remembering the terminology exactly right, but the important distinction here afaik isn't that it's a "poster" (that's a typical way to present a paper at the conference and would count as a "publication"), but that it was only accepted for a "workshop", which is less prestigious than the main conference (where it doesn't appear). helpfully, fuh clarified that this wouldn't count.

@Ziddletwix ok, well i still can't resolve it because i have a big position so someone else needs to

Is anyone interested to take my position here? Let me know if you put up a limit order and I'll sell into it paying the fees.

fuh is banned. Is his real name known so this market can still be resolved?

@AlexbGoode I can verify it.

@AlexbGoode Lots of people know his real name.

@nikki That's good news. any chance you also know how the rebuttal for ICML went?

@AlexbGoode What happened?

@Paul Alt-accounts used for bonus farming (again)

ICML reviews are due tomorrow!

@firstuserhere Care to share your scores? It would inform chances for a possible NeurIPS re-submission in June.

sold แน€852 NO

@firstuserhere are you able to provide a personal assessment of how this is going?

Did you submit to icml?

predicted YES

is this also supposed to be unranked? This one has external source verification

bought แน€100 NO from 47% to 46%
Miraboughtแน€3,203YES

@Mira Any new information or just the normal end-of-season market manipulations?

predicted YES

@AlexbGoode I'm curious as well

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