Resolves YES if, according to my entirely subjective opinion, the United States government assumes effective control over Venezuela for any contiguous duration of time lasting at least two weeks in the next year. Resolves NO if no such period occurs by December 31st, 2026. This can occur directly via military occupation or as a result of a government which is subservient enough to be effectively controlled by the US. As this resolves entirely according to my subjective opinion, I will not bet.
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@Balasar Are there specific actions you think the Venezuela government has done at the behest of Rubio? I would be curious to read about any. Really.
Relevant market: [Will President Maduro be removed from office before [Date]?]
https://manifold.markets/dynamics/when-coup-in-venezuela-will-a-new-g