Will OpenAI or Anthropic have a higher initial share price upon each of their IPOs?
12
Ṁ100Ṁ2332029
Anthropic65%
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
resolves once both IPO
will adjust for inflation if the time between the two is larger than 2 years
Update 2026-03-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market resolves based on literal per-share price, not market cap.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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When will OpenAI hold its IPO?
6/28/27
Will Anthropic have the largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
Will Anthropic IPO by….?
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Will OpenAI close its first day of public trading in 2026 with a market cap of $1 trillion+?
17% chance
Will Anthropic have a higher market cap than OpenAI after both IPO?
69% chance
Will Anthropic IPO before OpenAI?
95% chance
Will Anthropic and OpenAI IPO in the same month?
5% chance
What will Anthropic's initial share price be? (split-anchored Feb 27 2026)
547
Will Anthropic’s valuation exceed that of OpenAI by at least 50% on June 1, 2027?
34% chance
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Related questions
When will OpenAI hold its IPO?
6/28/27
Will Anthropic have the largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
Will Anthropic IPO by….?
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Will OpenAI close its first day of public trading in 2026 with a market cap of $1 trillion+?
17% chance
Will Anthropic have a higher market cap than OpenAI after both IPO?
69% chance
Will Anthropic IPO before OpenAI?
95% chance
Will Anthropic and OpenAI IPO in the same month?
5% chance
What will Anthropic's initial share price be? (split-anchored Feb 27 2026)
547
Will Anthropic’s valuation exceed that of OpenAI by at least 50% on June 1, 2027?
34% chance