Will OpenAI or Anthropic have a higher initial share price upon each of their IPOs?
13
Ṁ100Ṁ2372029
Anthropic63%
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
resolves once both IPO
will adjust for inflation if the time between the two is larger than 2 years
Update 2026-03-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market resolves based on literal per-share price, not market cap.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Will Anthropic have the largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
Will Anthropic IPO before OpenAI?
96% chance
Will Anthropic have the best public model when they IPO?
59% chance
Will Anthropic IPO by….?
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Will Anthropic have a higher market cap than SpaceX after both IPO?
50% chance
1. Anthropic will go public. OpenAI will not.
86% chance
What will Anthropic's initial share price be? (split-anchored Feb 27 2026)
547
Will Anthropic have a higher market cap than OpenAI after both IPO?
64% chance
1 month after Anthropic IPO, will their market cap be higher than launch day?
51% chance
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Anthropic have the largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
Will Anthropic IPO before OpenAI?
96% chance
Will Anthropic have the best public model when they IPO?
59% chance
Will Anthropic IPO by….?
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Will Anthropic have a higher market cap than SpaceX after both IPO?
50% chance
1. Anthropic will go public. OpenAI will not.
86% chance
What will Anthropic's initial share price be? (split-anchored Feb 27 2026)
547
Will Anthropic have a higher market cap than OpenAI after both IPO?
64% chance
1 month after Anthropic IPO, will their market cap be higher than launch day?
51% chance