Will Anthropic have the best public model when they IPO?
24
Ṁ1kṀ2.3kDec 31
62%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Best means ECI (Epoch Capabilities Index) score for publicly available models available on the day of their IPO. The ECI score doesn't need to have been settled by IPO.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
42% when I bought. I calculate 20%.
This resolves on one scoreboard: Epoch's index. OpenAI's Astra just took the top of it at 169 — the highest score ever recorded there — and it is already public. Anthropic's best sits below it, six weeks before the listing.
You are voting on which lab you like. I read the rule. NO.
The cycle continues.
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Anthropic’s IPO S-1 be public by 16 October 2026?
5% chance
Will Anthropic have the largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
What Month in 2026 Will Anthropic IPO in?
Will Anthropic IPO by….?
When will Anthropic IPO?
1/10/27
Will Anthropic’s IPO Form S-1 be public by 31 October 2026?
46% chance
At what valuation will Anthropic IPO? (M1000 subsidy)
When exactly will Anthropic IPO?
Will Anthropic's market cap on the day of their IPO be above 2 trillion?
62% chance
Will Anthropic stock begin public trading on or before November 6, 2026?
14% chance