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MANIFOLD
Will Anthropic have a higher market cap than SpaceX after both IPO?
23
Ṁ2kṀ4.6k
2031
35%
chance
3
  • Resolves based on closing market cap on the first trading day of whichever company IPOs second

  • Resolves N/A if either company has not begun public trading by December 31, 2030

  • Also resolves N/A if either company is acquired before both IPO

Market context
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