Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
20
Ṁ1kṀ1.9kDec 31
Anthropic79%
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
OpenAI’s financial situation suggests an IPO will be necessary to fund announced spending. Anthropic is heading for a much earlier breakeven. Both companies are rumoured to be considering an IPO. Who will be first? Resolves the day of the first IPO. If there is no IPO, it doesn’t resolve.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
When will Anthropic IPO?
3/28/27
Will OpenAI IPO by 2030?
90% chance
Will OpenAI go public NOT via an IPO?
31% chance
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
28% chance
OpenAI IPO before 2029?
84% chance
Will OpenAI IPO and be a publicly traded company in the United States by the end of March 2026?
3% chance
Which of xAI, Anthropic, and OpenAI will IPO first?
Will OpenAI AND xAI have an IPO in 2026?
3% chance
Will Anthropic surpass OpenAI valuation in 2026?
20% chance
1. Anthropic will go public. OpenAI will not.
36% chance