Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
36
Ṁ1kṀ4.4kDec 31
Anthropic70%
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
OpenAI’s financial situation suggests an IPO will be necessary to fund announced spending. Anthropic is heading for a much earlier breakeven. Both companies are rumoured to be considering an IPO. Who will be first? Resolves the day of the first IPO. If there is no IPO, it doesn’t resolve.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
Bankers expect Anthropic to list before OpenAI due to market preference for its focus.
bought Ṁ50 NO
(delete)
People are also trading
Related questions
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
26% chance
When will Anthropic IPO?
1/19/27
Will Anthropic surpass OpenAI valuation in 2026?
88% chance
Will OpenAI go public in 2026?
26% chance
OpenAI IPO before 2028?
68% chance
On June 1, will OpenAI be valued higher than Anthropic?
28% chance
Which of xAI, Anthropic, and OpenAI will IPO first?
Will OpenAI or Anthropic have a higher initial share price upon each of their IPOs?
Will OpenAI IPO and be a publicly traded company in the United States by the end of Halloween 2026?
9% chance
1. Anthropic will go public. OpenAI will not.
18% chance