Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
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Ṁ1kṀ18kDec 31
Anthropic83%
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OpenAI’s financial situation suggests an IPO will be necessary to fund announced spending. Anthropic is heading for a much earlier breakeven. Both companies are rumoured to be considering an IPO. Who will be first? Resolves the day of the first IPO. If there is no IPO, it doesn’t resolve.
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Will Anthropic IPO by….?
What Month in 2026 Will Anthropic IPO in?
Will Anthropic and OpenAI IPO in the same month?
8% chance
Will OpenAI or Anthropic have a higher initial share price upon each of their IPOs?
1. Anthropic will go public. OpenAI will not.
55% chance
Will Anthropic have a higher market cap than OpenAI after both IPO?
69% chance
When will OpenAI hold its IPO?
4/21/27
Will Anthropic have the largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
Will OpenAI AND xAI have an IPO in 2026?
14% chance
When will Anthropic IPO?
1/21/27
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Bankers expect Anthropic to list before OpenAI due to market preference for its focus.
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Related questions
Will Anthropic IPO by….?
What Month in 2026 Will Anthropic IPO in?
Will Anthropic and OpenAI IPO in the same month?
8% chance
Will OpenAI or Anthropic have a higher initial share price upon each of their IPOs?
1. Anthropic will go public. OpenAI will not.
55% chance
Will Anthropic have a higher market cap than OpenAI after both IPO?
69% chance
When will OpenAI hold its IPO?
4/21/27
Will Anthropic have the largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
Will OpenAI AND xAI have an IPO in 2026?
14% chance
When will Anthropic IPO?
1/21/27