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MANIFOLD
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
62
Ṁ1kṀ14k
Dec 31
Anthropic82%

OpenAI’s financial situation suggests an IPO will be necessary to fund announced spending. Anthropic is heading for a much earlier breakeven. Both companies are rumoured to be considering an IPO. Who will be first? Resolves the day of the first IPO. If there is no IPO, it doesn’t resolve.

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OpenAI really really need to go first. Being third of the super IPOs will be very hard for them, given how they are losing to Anthropic.

bought Ṁ50 NO

Bankers expect Anthropic to list before OpenAI due to market preference for its focus.

https://x.com/amir/status/2037292380311941585

bought Ṁ50 NO

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