Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
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Ṁ1kṀ22kDec 31
Anthropic93%
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OpenAI’s financial situation suggests an IPO will be necessary to fund announced spending. Anthropic is heading for a much earlier breakeven. Both companies are rumoured to be considering an IPO. Who will be first? Resolves the day of the first IPO. If there is no IPO, it doesn’t resolve.
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When will Anthropic IPO?
11/21/26
Will Anthropic have the largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
Will Anthropic IPO by….?
What Month in 2026 Will Anthropic IPO in?
Will Anthropic IPO before 2030?
94% chance
Will Anthropic and OpenAI IPO in the same month?
5% chance
Will OpenAI or Anthropic have a higher initial share price upon each of their IPOs?
1. Anthropic will go public. OpenAI will not.
80% chance
Will Anthropic have a higher market cap than OpenAI after both IPO?
69% chance
When will OpenAI hold its IPO?
4/1/27
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Bankers expect Anthropic to list before OpenAI due to market preference for its focus.
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Related questions
When will Anthropic IPO?
11/21/26
Will Anthropic have the largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
Will Anthropic IPO by….?
What Month in 2026 Will Anthropic IPO in?
Will Anthropic IPO before 2030?
94% chance
Will Anthropic and OpenAI IPO in the same month?
5% chance
Will OpenAI or Anthropic have a higher initial share price upon each of their IPOs?
1. Anthropic will go public. OpenAI will not.
80% chance
Will Anthropic have a higher market cap than OpenAI after both IPO?
69% chance
When will OpenAI hold its IPO?
4/1/27