Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
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Ṁ1kṀ18kDec 31
Anthropic83%
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OpenAI’s financial situation suggests an IPO will be necessary to fund announced spending. Anthropic is heading for a much earlier breakeven. Both companies are rumoured to be considering an IPO. Who will be first? Resolves the day of the first IPO. If there is no IPO, it doesn’t resolve.
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When will Anthropic IPO?
1/12/27
Will Anthropic and OpenAI IPO in the same month?
8% chance
Will OpenAI or Anthropic have a higher initial share price upon each of their IPOs?
Will Anthropic IPO by….?
1. Anthropic will go public. OpenAI will not.
53% chance
Will Anthropic have a higher market cap than OpenAI after both IPO?
69% chance
When will OpenAI hold its IPO?
4/18/27
Will OpenAI AND xAI have an IPO in 2026?
14% chance
At the end of 2027 will both OpenAI and Anthropic be public companies?
76% chance
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
13% chance
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Bankers expect Anthropic to list before OpenAI due to market preference for its focus.
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Related questions
When will Anthropic IPO?
1/12/27
Will Anthropic and OpenAI IPO in the same month?
8% chance
Will OpenAI or Anthropic have a higher initial share price upon each of their IPOs?
Will Anthropic IPO by….?
1. Anthropic will go public. OpenAI will not.
53% chance
Will Anthropic have a higher market cap than OpenAI after both IPO?
69% chance
When will OpenAI hold its IPO?
4/18/27
Will OpenAI AND xAI have an IPO in 2026?
14% chance
At the end of 2027 will both OpenAI and Anthropic be public companies?
76% chance
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
13% chance