Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
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Ṁ1kṀ24kDec 31
Anthropic94%
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OpenAI’s financial situation suggests an IPO will be necessary to fund announced spending. Anthropic is heading for a much earlier breakeven. Both companies are rumoured to be considering an IPO. Who will be first? Resolves the day of the first IPO. If there is no IPO, it doesn’t resolve.
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Will Anthropic have the largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
What Month in 2026 Will Anthropic IPO in?
Will Anthropic IPO by….?
Will Anthropic and OpenAI IPO in the same month?
5% chance
Will OpenAI or Anthropic have a higher initial share price upon each of their IPOs?
1. Anthropic will go public. OpenAI will not.
81% chance
Will Anthropic have a higher market cap than OpenAI after both IPO?
64% chance
When will OpenAI hold its IPO?
6/27/27
Will OpenAI go public NOT via an IPO?
7% chance
When exactly will Anthropic IPO?
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Bankers expect Anthropic to list before OpenAI due to market preference for its focus.
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Related questions
Will Anthropic have the largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
What Month in 2026 Will Anthropic IPO in?
Will Anthropic IPO by….?
Will Anthropic and OpenAI IPO in the same month?
5% chance
Will OpenAI or Anthropic have a higher initial share price upon each of their IPOs?
1. Anthropic will go public. OpenAI will not.
81% chance
Will Anthropic have a higher market cap than OpenAI after both IPO?
64% chance
When will OpenAI hold its IPO?
6/27/27
Will OpenAI go public NOT via an IPO?
7% chance
When exactly will Anthropic IPO?