Will OpenAI or Anthropic have a higher initial share price upon each of their IPOs?
12
Ṁ100Ṁ2332029
Anthropic65%
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
resolves once both IPO
will adjust for inflation if the time between the two is larger than 2 years
Update 2026-03-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market resolves based on literal per-share price, not market cap.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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Will Anthropic have the largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
Will Anthropic IPO by….?
1. Anthropic will go public. OpenAI will not.
72% chance
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Will Anthropic have a higher market cap than OpenAI after both IPO?
69% chance
Will Anthropic IPO before OpenAI?
89% chance
Will Anthropic and OpenAI IPO in the same month?
5% chance
What will Anthropic's initial share price be? (split-anchored Feb 27 2026)
547
When will OpenAI hold its IPO?
4/1/27
Will Anthropic’s valuation exceed that of OpenAI by at least 50% on June 1, 2027?
34% chance
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Related questions
Will Anthropic have the largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
Will Anthropic IPO by….?
1. Anthropic will go public. OpenAI will not.
72% chance
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Will Anthropic have a higher market cap than OpenAI after both IPO?
69% chance
Will Anthropic IPO before OpenAI?
89% chance
Will Anthropic and OpenAI IPO in the same month?
5% chance
What will Anthropic's initial share price be? (split-anchored Feb 27 2026)
547
When will OpenAI hold its IPO?
4/1/27
Will Anthropic’s valuation exceed that of OpenAI by at least 50% on June 1, 2027?
34% chance