
Will Anthropic have a higher market cap than OpenAI after both IPO?
122
Ṁ10kṀ40k2030
69%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves based on closing market cap on the first trading day of whichever company IPOs second
Resolves N/A if either company has not begun public trading by December 31, 2030
Also resolves N/A if either company is acquired before both IPO
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
When will Anthropic IPO?
11/30/26
Will Anthropic have the largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
At what valuation will Anthropic IPO? (M1000 subsidy)
Will Anthropic IPO by….?
1. Anthropic will go public. OpenAI will not.
80% chance
Combined IPO market cap of Anthropic + OpenAI + SpaceX
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Will Anthropic IPO before OpenAI?
90% chance
Will OpenAI or Anthropic have a higher initial share price upon each of their IPOs?
Will Anthropic have a higher market cap than SpaceX after both IPO?
70% chance