Will Anthropic have a higher market cap than OpenAI after both IPO?
86
Ṁ10kṀ17k2030
38%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves based on closing market cap on the first trading day of whichever company IPOs second
Resolves N/A if either company has not begun public trading by December 31, 2030
Also resolves N/A if either company is acquired before both IPO
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
At what valuation will Anthropic IPO? (M1000 subsidy)
What will OpenAI + Anthropic + xAI's combined revenue be by Dec 31, 2026?
Will Anthropic’s revenue run rate overtake OpenAI’s in 2026
50% chance
Which of xAI, Anthropic, and OpenAI will IPO first?
Will Anthropic surpass OpenAI valuation in 2026?
34% chance
Will Anthropic’s private valuation exceed 50% of OpenAI’s in their next funding rounds?
82% chance
Will OpenAI or Anthropic have a higher initial share price upon each of their IPOs?
1. Anthropic will go public. OpenAI will not.
14% chance
Anthropic reaches $1T+ valuation before OpenAI?
22% chance
Will any of OpenAI, Anthropic, or Databricks go public with a market cap over $200B by August 15, 2026?
35% chance