Which company will create AGI first? | Manifold

Which company will create AGI first?

80

Ṁ2kṀ4.7k

2036

33%

Anthropic

20%

DeepMind

13%

OpenAI

11%

US Government

5%

people not employed by a company

5%

Communist Party of China

4%

xAI

4%

N/A

4%

Other

If the first company that brings AGI to the world is not listed, resolves N/A

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Huffing the copium

Surely this goes up with the recent news

OpenAI makes great products and great infrastructure but let’s be honest they haven’t invented a single thing.

@Gigacasting lol

@Gigacasting But they were the ones to capitalize on the things that others invented.

@Adam I will not resolve to that. If a not listed company creates it first, it will resolve N/A

@FranklinBaldo What if one of these companies buys another? Will it resolve to both?

@FranklinBaldo I was mostly intending to expensively signal "AGI will not be created" but if there's no value in my underlying then I'll get out :P

Which company will create AGI first?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition

People are also trading

Will we get AGI before 2029?

Will we get AGI before 2027?

Will we get AGI before 2028?

Will we get AGI before 2030?

A company from which continent will achieve AGI first?

Which company will achieve the "weak AGI"?

Will AI create the first AGI?

By when will we have AGI?

Will China get AGI first?

Will AGI come from a company whose primary product involves selling a model over an API?

Related questions

Will we get AGI before 2029?

Will we get AGI before 2027?

Will we get AGI before 2028?

Will we get AGI before 2030?

A company from which continent will achieve AGI first?

Which company will achieve the "weak AGI"?

Will AI create the first AGI?

By when will we have AGI?

Will China get AGI first?

Will AGI come from a company whose primary product involves selling a model over an API?