Which company or organization will be the first to develop strong AGI as defined by Manifold?
39
225
Ṁ1.7k
2101
32%
OpenAI
22%
Other
20%
Google
11%
Anthropic
4%
Meta
1.9%
Microsoft
1.6%
Nvidia
1.5%
AMD
1.4%
a USA Governmental Agency/Organization
1.1%
a Chinese Governmental Agency/Organization
1.1%
xAI

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bought Ṁ4 Microsoft YES

@RemNi 's definition

you can use a guideline similar to this one when evaluating your opinion (subject to change as we all become better educated on the matter)

> "Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) refers to a type of artificial intelligence that has the ability to understand, learn, and apply its intelligence to a wide variety of problems, much like a human being. Unlike narrow or weak AI, which is designed and trained for specific tasks (like language translation, playing a game, or image recognition), AGI can theoretically perform any intellectual task that a human being can. It involves the capability to reason, plan, solve problems, think abstractly, comprehend complex ideas, learn quickly, and learn from experience."

How will you determine how manifold defines AGI? Would it be something like a poll of manifold users where they have to vote on which company was first to develop AGI, once it's clear that one of them has? And to be sure I understand correctly, the above definition is an example, rather than what will be used as Manifold's definition, correct?

@Bayesian yes, and yes. there was discussion in discord over what agi is, so i was using that as a guideline for people who were unsure. it is not the final definition, and people are welcome to post other guidelines for what counts as strong AGI if they have better ones

also yes i plan to poll manifold if they think the technological advancement is strong agi when that technology comes out and society is deeming it so

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