Keir Starmer Resignation Month
38
Ṁ250Ṁ5.9k2028
0.1%
November 2025
0.1%
December 2025
0.1%
January 2026
0.1%
February 2026
0.2%
March 2026
0.9%
April 2026
14%
May 2026
21%
June 2026
7%
July 2026
56%
Update 2025-11-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market resolves based on when Starmer formally resigns to the King, regardless of the reason for leaving office. This includes scenarios such as:
Labour losing an election
Starmer losing a leadership challenge
Any other circumstance that results in him leaving Number 10
Update 2025-11-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve to N/A if Starmer dies while in office.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Starmer out before July?
20% chance
How will Keir Starmer leave office?
Will Keir Starmer resign in 2026?
33% chance
On what dates will Keir Starmer still be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom?
[ACX 2026] Will Keir Starmer cease to be Prime Minister of the UK during 2026?
50% chance
If Keir Starmer resigns or is pushed out, what happens next?
Who will be the next UK Prime Minister after Keir Starmer?
When will Keir Starmer be replaced as Prime Minister of the UK?
When will Keir Starmer stop being leader of the Labour Party?
10/1/27
2x2 Starmer out before 2027 / UK General Election in 2027
Sort by:
@JoshuaWilkes the only thing that has now occurred to me is if Starmer would be able to resign if he lost his seat
@JoshuaWilkes https://www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/explainer/prime-minister-loses-seat-general-election
Seems quite clear that he would
People are also trading
Related questions
Starmer out before July?
20% chance
How will Keir Starmer leave office?
Will Keir Starmer resign in 2026?
33% chance
On what dates will Keir Starmer still be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom?
[ACX 2026] Will Keir Starmer cease to be Prime Minister of the UK during 2026?
50% chance
If Keir Starmer resigns or is pushed out, what happens next?
Who will be the next UK Prime Minister after Keir Starmer?
When will Keir Starmer be replaced as Prime Minister of the UK?
When will Keir Starmer stop being leader of the Labour Party?
10/1/27
2x2 Starmer out before 2027 / UK General Election in 2027