On what dates will Keir Starmer still be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom?
3
10kṀ7763
Dec 31
92%
2025-12-31 / 31st December 2025
65%
2026-12-31 / 31st December 2026
56%
2027-12-31 / 31st December 2027
44%
2028-12-31 / 31st December 2028
28%
2029-12-31 / 31st December 2029
26%
2030-12-31 / 31st December 2030

Each answer resolves YES at 00:01 on the date listed in the answer, if Keir Starmer is Prime Minister AND has been so continuously since his appointment following the 2024 election.

If he loses his job for any reason (including death/firing/resignation/losing an election) then all remaining answers will resolve NO.

Add more dates if you want more granularity.

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sold Ṁ41 YES

On the one hand, it's really useful and interesting to see how different ways of phrasing the question bias my intuition, but on the other hand, it's a real pain in the neck trying to arbitrage all the various versions! Somebody needs to write a bot!

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