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MANIFOLD
How will Keir Starmer leave office?
45
Ṁ1kṀ8.4k
2029
22%
Loses general election
31%
Loses Labour leadership challenge
44%
Resigns
3%
Other

Resolves to the means by which Keir Starmer loses power as the UK’s Prime Minister.

“Resigns” captures scenarios where Starmer voluntarily ceases to be PM without legal obligation, even if there is strong pressure (eg resignation following a non-binding no confidence vote or in the middle of a leadership challenge both count for “resigns”). It also includes resignation for personal reasons like health.

“Other” captures any scenario not listed, including death, incapacitation, criminal disqualification or expulsion by the monarch.

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