MANIFOLD
How will Keir Starmer leave office?
43
Ṁ1kṀ7.4k
2029
16%
Loses general election
45%
Loses Labour leadership challenge
36%
Resigns
3%
Other

Resolves to the means by which Keir Starmer loses power as the UK’s Prime Minister.

“Resigns” captures scenarios where Starmer voluntarily ceases to be PM without legal obligation, even if there is strong pressure (eg resignation following a non-binding no confidence vote or in the middle of a leadership challenge both count for “resigns”). It also includes resignation for personal reasons like health.

“Other” captures any scenario not listed, including death, incapacitation, criminal disqualification or expulsion by the monarch.

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