Keir Starmer Resignation Month
17
Ṁ225Ṁ1.8k2028
0.5%
November 2025
0.5%
December 2025
0.7%
January 2026
1.1%
February 2026
0.8%
March 2026
1.9%
April 2026
5%
May 2026
4%
June 2026
85%
Update 2025-11-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market resolves based on when Starmer formally resigns to the King, regardless of the reason for leaving office. This includes scenarios such as:
Labour losing an election
Starmer losing a leadership challenge
Any other circumstance that results in him leaving Number 10
Update 2025-11-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve to N/A if Starmer dies while in office.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
On what dates will Keir Starmer still be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom?
[ACX 2026] Will Keir Starmer cease to be Prime Minister of the UK during 2026?
40% chance
Will Kristi Noem or Keir Starmer leave their current role first?
Will Keir Starmer lead the Labour party into the next General Election?
33% chance
If Labour wins a majority government at the 2024 election, will Keir Starmer be prime minister on 1st January 2028?
42% chance
How will Keir Starmer leave office?
When will Keir Starmer be replaced as Prime Minister of the UK?
When will Keir Starmer stop being leader of the Labour Party?
9/17/27
Keir Starmer still UK prime minister by?
1/12/31
Keir Starmer Gone before Donald Trump?
67% chance
Sort by:
@JoshuaWilkes the only thing that has now occurred to me is if Starmer would be able to resign if he lost his seat
@JoshuaWilkes https://www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/explainer/prime-minister-loses-seat-general-election
Seems quite clear that he would
People are also trading
Related questions
On what dates will Keir Starmer still be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom?
[ACX 2026] Will Keir Starmer cease to be Prime Minister of the UK during 2026?
40% chance
Will Kristi Noem or Keir Starmer leave their current role first?
Will Keir Starmer lead the Labour party into the next General Election?
33% chance
If Labour wins a majority government at the 2024 election, will Keir Starmer be prime minister on 1st January 2028?
42% chance
How will Keir Starmer leave office?
When will Keir Starmer be replaced as Prime Minister of the UK?
When will Keir Starmer stop being leader of the Labour Party?
9/17/27
Keir Starmer still UK prime minister by?
1/12/31
Keir Starmer Gone before Donald Trump?
67% chance