When will Keir Starmer stop being leader of the Labour Party?
12
Ṁ175Ṁ5172029
May 12, 2027
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
1.1%
2025
61%
2026
11%
2027
11%
2028
10%
2029
6%
After 2029
Resolution criteria
Keir Starmer has served as Leader of the Labour Party since 2020. This market resolves YES on the date when Starmer ceases to be Labour Party leader through any means, or "after 2029" if on January 1st 2030, Keir Starmer is still leader of the Labour Party and never ceased to be Labour leader in the meantime.
Resolution will be determined by official Labour Party announcements or credible reporting from major UK news outlets (BBC, The Guardian, Sky News, etc.) confirming the end of his leadership and the identity of his successor or interim replacement.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Keir Starmer announce his resignation in February 2026
5% chance
Starmer out before July?
41% chance
On what dates will Keir Starmer still be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom?
[ACX 2026] Will Keir Starmer cease to be Prime Minister of the UK during 2026?
58% chance
Who will be the next Labour Party leader?
When will Keir Starmer be replaced as Prime Minister of the UK?
Will Keir Starmer resign in 2026?
60% chance
How will Keir Starmer leave office?
Keir Starmer Resignation Month
If Keir Starmer resigns or is pushed out, what happens next?