Folded, Month Three
Sep 18, 2025

🎴 Introducing: FOLDED

Manifold’s first large-scale social experiment & art project

A test of patience. A battle of routine. A war of attrition.

Join the experiment. Win the prize.
💰 12,000+ mana up for grabs -- and the prize pool is growing!


WHAT IS FOLDED?

FOLDED is a minimalist game with a single rule:

🕛 Check in once per day. Or be eliminated.

It sounds simple, but there’s a catch - it won’t stay that way.

🗓️ DAILY CHECK-IN

You must visit the check-in page once per day before midnight UTC.
Miss a day? You’re out. No second chances.

❌ ELIMINATION

Players who don’t check in are instantly eliminated.
Each day, the pool gets smaller. The tension rises.

💸 ENTRY FEE

To enter, send 2,000 mana to the prize pool via Managram.
Think of it as your ticket to the endurance games.

🏆 WINNER TAKES ALL

The last player standing takes everything.
Every mana from every eliminated player goes to the final survivor.

🔒 DIFFICULTY

It will become harder to check in over time.
The interface may evolve. The rules might twist.
Stay alert. Adapt. Survive.


HOW TO JOIN

Step 1: Pay your entry fee (CLOSED)

Managram 2,000 mana:
👉 https://manifold.markets/Bandors?tab=payments&a=2000

Step 2: Make your FOLDED account

No email required. Just your manafold username.
👉 https://folded-three.vercel.app/


Is this a game? An art piece? A psychological experiment?

Yes.

congrats @koadma!

Ayo, big congrats to @koadma for snagging that W in Folded Season One! No cap, psychological warfare was on another level, and your threat to go on for years really secured that crown, fr fr!

Shoutout to everyone who pulled up and contributed — what a wild ride, lowkey.

Enjoy that 48k mana, it’s giving major vibes, and catch y’all next season! Skibidi! ✌️

(ignore the em dash)

Congratulations to @koadma for winning Folded Season One!

Psychological warfare won out, your threat to go on for years landed you the crown!

Thank you everyone who participated or contributed. What a long, strange ride it has been.

Enjoy the 48k mana, and see you next season!

@Bandors wow, i actually won! (ngl I did kinda expect some last-minute shenanigans).

Thanks for the game Bandors, I did really enjoy most days, especially the crane folding and cybersec ones! I have already made 14 paper cranes so far, and also showed how you make them to one another person. It's a great activity while waiting on misc tasks on the computer. I'll use my 0.014 part of a wish to wish you a happy life!

Also, all players were great, it was a joy to compete with you! Special shout out to Logan whose streams have become a regular part of my morning routine, I'll miss those! And also to other people without whom I would have probably dropped out very early (I can't be less vague at this time.)

I hope to play with you again soon!

@koadma It's been great. On to the next chapter!

I am disappointed. It is just a car bumper, its not that deep

gg anyway

I resign!

Thanks to Tim for creating this mess (kidding—it was fun)! Kudos to all the players who offered stiff competition, interesting music, and witty banter both here and on stream. And congratulations to koadma, whose credible signal of longevity has earned him 1st place in this iteration of FOLDED!

I will stream one more time tonight, starting around 23:30 UTC to record the outcome. https://x.com/i/broadcasts/1mrGmBWlODWJy

@LoganTurner Just to confirm, this becomes truly recognized when Bandors confirms the victor, right?

@Quroe correct, the second to last sentence is a forward-looking statement

@LoganTurner I likewise resign, gg everyone

The bounty is fully funded and operational! @Bandors I formally ask you to waive the car bumper video requirement so that @koadma can check in easily.

(edited)

Folded, day 96: Hard Mode

After checking in inside the game, please post a youtube video as a reply to this comment

The video should show a human holding a car bumper inside of a house

The human holding the bumper must spin, or camera recorder must spin around the holder, and the holder must verbally confirm the username of the player they are representing.

If everyone posts a car bumper video, the player holding the smallest bumper will be punished greatly

If you don't post a car bumper video, that will not count as a full check in for today.

this is not a joke

@Bandors ...the weirdest bug in game world, working on that. no rush because you have to do the bumper stuff lol

(edited)

@Bandors This the content we like so retroid has to finally touch grass! (or get a friend to)

@Bandors janky fix in place. have fun people. Will the gang negotiate an exit? Will someone bumper post at 11:59pm UTC? tune in to the next episode of folded

@Bandors Is "smallest" measured in volume, surface area, height, width, length, or else?

I am going to try to broker something really funny today

@koadma , @retr0id please read your DMs before checking in today

Folded, day 95: This is actually hard to maintain when traveling

-Moved houses, still setting up my desktop

-Tried pushing update from laptop but lol ran out of time
-I have a funny idea for how to fairly wrap up this game, will present it tomorrow
-Actually done traveling around now fr fr no cap

livestream delayed until 02:00 UTC tonight

Folded, day 94: Nada

  • Still not quite home yet

  • remote update failed

  • Home in ~12 hours

  • Another day without an update

Folded, day 93: flying home

No updates today

Folded, day 92: vacation

  • Update paused for another day, returning home from a trip

  • quit if you don't like that, lol

(edited)

Folded, day 91: tok 2

  • Delayed update, but if you check in early it's still valid

  • I consumed alcohol with friends tonight :v

Folded, day 89: TOK
-minor changes
-no update tomorrow

@Bandors When it gets to the final two, you should make something that makes the compete against each other directly

Folded, day 88

Folded, day 87: demotivation

-added demotivation

-no update tomorrow

@retr0id the countdown in the corner has an end date of Jan 1st 2030, lol

@LoganTurner hover over it lmao 🤣

@Bandors Oh I missed that on stream. Tooltip says "Time until koadma might consider negotiating"

What's the exact number for the prize?

@retr0id I'll double check at home but iirc like 48k

(edited)

@retr0id If it's still 48k total, here's a possible plan to start negotiating around:

  1. retr0id and LoganTurner each add 9k to the current bounty.(LoganTurner is ineligible to receive this, and mods can enforce it.)

  2. koadma drops out, claiming the 18k bounty.

  3. retr0id creates another, new bounty of 12k.

  4. LoganTurner drops out, claiming the 12k bounty (= reimbursement for funding previous bounties)

  5. retr0id wins the prize, netting 27k

@LoganTurner @retr0id Folded season two is going to have a way longer sign up period and more promotion. Sooner this season ends, sooner a bigger pot might be created :0

@retr0id @koadma If the 9:6:1 split between R:K:L doesn't sound good, I can write up a list of two player games. Then you both tell me which games you think you have a better chance of winning than FOLDED. If there's any overlap, you play. Loser gets the smaller share of the prize. (I just want my net -3k reimbursed.)

calvinball

@121 quake 2

(edited)

@LoganTurner Currently, I prefer trying and possibly failing to win over not trying at all, so I don't want to drop out deliberately. However, if this goes on for a long time (a few years), I might change my mind.

Folded, day 86: neglect

-Final three! Congrats to you.
-I'll keep it 100 with you, I'm not making a new challenge every day for just three people.

-I'll maybe do a every other day or every third day or something
-You could quit? Negotiate an exit among yourselves. Or wait for someone else to go. Or try to win, idc really

@LoganTurner yep, no changes so it's fine

Rip @remedyrain /Wott

Fourth place isn't bad.

@Bandors I really convinced @remedyrain to quit with my comment "at least 67 days until game end"

at least 67 days until game end

Folded, Day eighty five: bugs

-If you don't quit, this could go on forever
-The real Tontine is upto 800 days. Are you ready?

-There's like a 2k bounty if you quit, I think?
-You really should consider quitting

Logan, consider not streaming today or you might share solutions.

Livestream: https://x.com/i/broadcasts/1zqKVdkYaeLJB
Uh, at what point should I stop? before login?

@LoganTurner Idk, there's a lot of moving parts on this one today!

@Bandors
-You do not have to guess the secret word. It will be very obvious it's the secret word when found.

best way to eliminate people: just eliminate the last person to check in every day until only 2 people are left.

@100Anonymous Goes against rules I set forth at the start

(edited)

Folded, Day eighty four: Hello

-hi

-hello

-ollǝɥ

-o ya, nikki died

RIP @nikki!

Folded, Day LXXXIII: 👀🍄🌀
-📫︎✌︎♎︎♎︎♏︎♎︎ ◻︎⬧︎⍓︎♍︎♒︎♏︎♎︎♏︎●︎♓︎♍︎ ⬧︎♍︎♏︎■︎♏︎

-📫︎☜︎■︎🙰□︎⍓︎ ⧫︎♒︎♏︎ ♏︎❖︎♏︎■︎⧫︎✏︎

-📫︎💧︎□︎❒︎❒︎⍓︎📪︎ ✋︎ ⬥︎♋︎⬧︎⧫︎♏︎♎︎ ⍓︎□︎◆︎❒︎ ⧫︎♓︎❍︎♏︎ ♎︎♏︎♍︎□︎♎︎♓︎■︎♑︎ ⧫︎♒︎♓︎⬧︎ ⧫︎♏︎⌧︎⧫︎

@Bandors
-Tested on production, confirmed working
-Logan, consider not streaming this out because you'd give the solution accidentally

-Someone might actually get eliminated

@Bandors will do. I'll wait to upload

@Bandors psycedelics 🥀

Folded, Day 82: birds (again)

-fixed birds event
-tested on prod, lol

Folded, Day 81: birds

-added birds

-some audio tracks played in wrong scenes.. fixed that
-added more birds
-ran out of time before testing on prod, getting breakfast and then will verify (or maybe I'll be lucky and logan will test it first, haha)

@LoganTurner yep, broken, let me fix, lol, poor Logan

@Bandors I have to step away before I can properly fix. October 8 will be designated as a safe no elimination day, as it's bugged and I generally give myself a 30 minutes grace window to fix. It will be fixed later today if you still feel like checking in. I'll properly test better next time.

Folded, Day 80: Developer commentary

-Developer commentary
-It's commentary.... from the developer
-Developer -> commentary -> developer commentary

Livestream delayed to 00:15 or so: https://x.com/i/broadcasts/1yoKMPYReBRxQ

Folded, Day 79: You are a star
-have fun
-consider negotiating an exit
-hard more tomorrow

@LoganTurner 1 moment- issue detected when testing on production

@Bandors HMM, no issue when testing again so I'll wait to see if players report problems

Folded, Day 78: return to form
-added a basic anticheat
-shuffled columns and tables in back end
-nothing will look different from a well behaved user's pov
-another funny thing tomorrow

well behaved user

That got a chuckle out of me.

@Bandors for transparency, I'm starting my checkin attempt now

@retr0id checkin complete

@Bandors please make retroid actually do something challenging. its been 78 whole days

Folded, Day 77: The final countdown
-Only a few players left!
-Added difficulty to ongoing event!
-Consider also quitting!

(edited)

It's been fun, but I fold! Congrats to the Final 5!

Should I open source my FOLDED source code processing system?

@SimonWestlake After the event, maybe

I feel like Logan shouldn't do livestreams of him solving the tasks, as it'll make it easier for the other contestants. He should at least wait until the next day before publishing the videos.

@Vesperstelo I can turn on censor bars for sensitive content. Was there something specific today that you think helped the others?

Folded, Day 76: artistic

-small update today

-another update tomorrow

-probably, another update after that

-there may even be another update on the following day

consider quitting

Testing today's update before pushing to prod, 1 moment

It's about time we had a public bounty for dropping out, so I made one. Thanks to @nikki for contributing. Anyone else want to push it closer to the 6k offers seen recently?

Folded, Day 75: spooky time

-It's officially spooky month

-someone should quit
-extended the event

Livespook: https://x.com/i/broadcasts/1YpKkkDRrdEKj

(M100 to the first correct guess why I'm upside down!)

Folded, Day 74: some fun allowed

-can you see where I am going with this yet?
-current event will extend longer until someone is eliminated
-have fun =^)

Folded, Day 73: The Final Days

-Fun update today
-I cooked with this one
-Consider quitting

Livestream starting around 00:15: https://x.com/i/broadcasts/1jMKgRMQadmxL

Folded, Day 72: Bouncy
-small update, was on the road most of yesterday
-simon was about two minutes away from elimination.
-big update tomorrow

Folded, Day 71: Another smoke break

-Forgot to push changes before my day trip! 

-Home again tonight, so fun update comes tomorrow 

-When prompted in game, please submit your ideas on how we could cause a fair elimation. Challenge, or otherwise. Must be fair and fit prior rules stated (No elimination votes, no endurance/strength based challenges)

Yesterday's riddle solution:
What's green and sticky?
A Green Stick! 


Thank you Nikki for that funny riddle.

@Bandors did anyone get the riddle wrong

Folded, Day 70: Lost in space

-Re-entry tomorrow

-Go to y=20 and laugh at my bad unfinished animation sequence.
-Wedding today/yesterday (two day thing here) so I didn't work too much on the update
-I think tomorrow I can finish the next high effort challenge day

(edited)

@Bandors Should the submitted riddles contain the answer?

Taking up the mantle from Evan, here's a new market for the next player to be eliminated:

https://manifold.markets/SimonWestlake/which-folded-account-will-be-the-ne

(edited)

Folded, Day 69 (nice) : Uno Reverse
-Cooking something really funny
-So funny in fact, some might call it bizarre
-Simple day today, it's taking a bit more time than expected to make the next universe
-Today, everyone writes a riddle, your riddle will then be given to another player tomorrow

@Bandors Is this the fabled Funny Thing™️? Or did that already come to pass?

@Quroe uh the old funny thing already happened, but another funny thing coming soon. I actually forgot which update was the OG funny day

@Bandors did we ever get a solution for the stickfigure drawing?

(edited)

Folded, Day 68: Lost and found

-You're almost out of gas!
-I could see someone being eliminated today.
-Kinda a filler day while I work on a fun challenge.

(edited)

Livestream starting around 00:20 past midnight: https://x.com/i/broadcasts/1jMJgRMgojAGL

@LoganTurner sorry folks, I switched to a different streaming client and had to fix some things. Streaming now!

(edited)

Folded, Day 67: Finish the mission
-Evan fucking died (again)
-Mulling over the next high effort check in for tomorrow
-Story mission for today



@Bandors uhhhh did you forget to deploy

(it still wants a crane video)

@retr0id o oops lol

(edited)

Livestream starting in ten minutes: https://x.com/i/broadcasts/1yoKMPgjEopxQ
Edit: Missed that my audio was out. Re-doing the stream: https://x.com/i/broadcasts/1ypKdqyEkkNGW

@LoganTurner Removing crane request on check-in floppy now

@Bandors give me 10, pushed a bad update to fix crane removal

Live view of Evan and Simon trying to finish their cranes before midnight

@Bandors

Unfortunate if Evan is eliminated right after I updated their avatar

@Bandors Just to be clear, proof of crane has been sent via DM

Today’s livestream delayed to no earlier than 02:00

I really thought today's challenge would filter some people, lol

@Bandors the solution is to do a challenge that requires physical exercise outdoors

@retr0id I promised from the start no elimination due to lack of physical strength. Open to other ideas.

@Bandors May I suggest Geoguesser?

@Bandors Or borrowing inspiration from The Password Game in general.

@Bandors I'm experiencing some weirdness with my video file. It works great on my phone, but on my computer, some programs play just the audio, and others show just the video. I don't have time to troubleshoot before the deadline, but if you can't view it properly, and I'll figure out how to get it in a form that plays reliably.

Worst case scenario, I'll record a video of the video, and since the audio or video (whichever one you got to work) will match, you'll know that it was recorded before the deadline.

@Bandors And now I'm getting an error that it's too big to upload. I'm sending you a Google Drive link. Please excuse the technical difficulties and technical lack of check-in.

@SimonWestlake I'll allow a check in this way as I can write off upload error as my end issue. Show me the crane

(edited)

With several more players out and Bandors introducing more physical challenges, it seems like a good time to open coordinated exit negotiations again. I'd exit for 6,000 mana of the pot, as a starting point. That's less than the 8,000 average bid we need to get below collectively (not counting Evan, as he's not eligible to win mana).

How much would you need to receive in order to be willing to drop out? While it's reasonable to increase your bid after someone drops out, please try not to do that otherwise.

Tagging players who have not commented on this thread

@koadma @nikki @remedyrain

@SimonWestlake Standing by to assist...

@SimonWestlake I'd be fine with 6000 as well

(edited)

@SimonWestlake I will disclaim the mana prize (up to 50k worth) for an official rank of Second Place and the guaranteed access to livestream the rest of the challenges. (Offer expires 22:00 Sep 24, but I’d consider renewing.)

@SimonWestlake I never said Evan couldn't say who to send mana to if he won, btw

(edited)

@SimonWestlake I'm not looking to exit currently (so +infinity mana), but if the challenges get super tedious/unfun, I'll probably change my mind. This day's is fun imo, I've never made an origami crane before.

@Bandors Evan hadn't been eliminated yet, but you did say "Last player standing with a valid Manifold Market account wins": https://manifold.markets/post/introducing-folded-12000-mana-prize#COldsPLP

@Quroe dug that up while trading was halted from Evan's chaos

@SimonWestlake before evan wins im giving my api key to evan so he has the valid manifold markets account

Surely, nothing can go wrong with that idea.

(edited)

@121 Wouldn't that be a form of ban evasion? Ban evasion "will not be tolerated" according to the community guidelines: https://manifoldmarkets.notion.site/Account-manipulation-guidelines-2cea166008aa45de9785fdbe6e290ae3

I don't think that ban evasion of any form should be able to be used as a loophole in the definition of "valid account". It also would likely be a race against the mods punishing you too.

@SimonWestlake BTW, i made an account (FOLDED account) sharing deal with evan a month ago and I have their FOLDED password

(edited)

@Bandors I still have access to their account.(no, i'm not checking in for them but still have access)

@100Anonymous Well, they're eliminated, so....

Folded, Day 66: Title Drop
-Incredibly, all 240 UFOs from prior challenge had been successfully destroyed.
-Okay, this is a good point for you to quit

-Ah man who wants to learn a new skill? Do you have time for that?

-Quitting is easy, just give up!

-Logan's reward for destroying most of the UFOs: You will not be judged for the quality of your folding today

Player instructions for today:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qufPVTQNJuQ

(edited)

Livestream: https://x.com/i/broadcasts/1yoKMPgeenpxQ
@Bandors (My check-in submission content starts at 48m30s!)

@LoganTurner Bonus stream: I didn't check-in in the actual game. Here that is: https://x.com/i/broadcasts/1LyGBXmyrBLxN

@Bandors I predict three eliminations today.

Folded, Day 65: bugs

-Lol I didn't finish the big update for today, so it's a simple check-in for today
-Galactic consequences tomorrow depending on UFO participation rates / failure rates.
-For today, just continue flying your rocket closer to the asteroid
-Couple visual bugs I didn't have time to patch out

@Bandors Did all the waves get fully destroyed yesterday?

@LoganTurner Results shown tomorrow

~20 mins until day 65. Don't worry about any new waves loading in.

Folded, Day 64: Hope?
-I didn't really expect this event to go on for this long. Expect massive difficulty jumps. I will try to keep everything fair
-On the hour every hour for the next 24 hours, 10 enemies appear. If they are not defeated, the team will suffer.
-The suffering might scale based on if you contributed or not.
-Tested on Google Chrome 1080p 100% screen zoom. Other setups untested- good luck!
-Something got broke, publishing today's update as is- sorry for lack of flavor, my recent update got borked

the team guarrentee suffer no one has that much time to not touch grass or sleep every day

@Bandors note: there is no individual check-in today, so no elimination, the check in is being done as a group.

Would someone like to take responsibility for the 04:00–07:00 waves? Maybe someone in an Asia/Pacific timezone? I can do 02:00 and 03:00.

@LoganTurner I've got the 6:00 and 7:00 waves

Am I blind? Got all of 'em this wave, except for this one...

1 moment

I will deliberately fail/sabotage the "group challenge" tomorrow unless I receive a total of 500 mana

@retr0id what a generous guy :3 🥇 thats what i would do if i was still here

(edited)

@retr0id lmfao good luck

Folded, Day 63: Doom?
-It's the end of the world as we know it...?

-I feel fine

-The fish are British?

First GROUP challenge tomorrow, there will be a collective punishment for failing to stop the end of the world.

@Bandors I like end of world

@LoganTurner sorry that the audio is crackling over my posh english accent. Will try to fix before tomorrow

@Bandors The plot thickens

@LoganTurner how does one fix a posh English accent?

(edited)

@Wott I mean to fix the audio track crackling—obviously the accent is perfect 😇
edit: (kidding)

@LoganTurner I assumed you were a brit because the accent was too good

3rd

Folded, Day 62: Wait, but I thought I was already underwater?
-Eased up on the boss fight
-Cataclysm tomorrow

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