When will the FOLDED surviving player count reach 4?
1
1.5kแน160Sep 5
24%
Day 47 or earlier (4 September 2025)
24%
Day 48 or earlier (5 September 2025)
34%
Day 49 or earlier (6 September 2025)
34%
Day 50 or earlier (7 September 2025)
34%
Day 51 or earlier (8 September 2025)
50%
Day 52 or earlier (9 September 2025)
50%
Day 53 or earlier (10 September 2025)
50%
Day 54 or earlier (11 September 2025)
50%
Day 55 or earlier (12 September 2025)
50%
Day 56 or earlier (13 September 2025)
50%
Day 57 or earlier (14 September 2025)
50%
Day 58 or earlier (15 September 2025)
50%
Day 59 or earlier (16 September 2025)
50%
Day 60 or earlier (17 September 2025)
50%
Day 61 or earlier (18 September 2025)
50%
Day 62 or earlier (19 September 2025)
50%
Day 63 or earlier (20 September 2025)
50%
Day 64 or earlier (21 September 2025)
50%
Day 65 or earlier (22 September 2025)
50%
Day 66 or earlier (23 September 2025)
When the first day of FOLDED begins with four or fewer players remaining, each option resolves YES if that day of FOLDED was on or before the option's listed date in UTC.
If FOLDED continues to have more than four players past the listed date, the option will resolve NO.
The host does not count as a player.
I will periodically add days to this market if the no one gets eliminated for long enough.
As of September 3, 2025, there are 8 players remaining.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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