When will the FOLDED surviving player count reach 5?
13
1.5kแน54492026
4%
Day 64 or earlier (21 September 2025)
5%
Day 65 or earlier (22 September 2025)
22%
Day 66 or earlier (23 September 2025)
33%
Day 67 or earlier (24 September 2025)
50%
Day 68 or earlier (25 September 2025)
50%
Day 69 or earlier (26 September 2025)
50%
Day 70 or earlier (27 September 2025)
50%
Day 71 or earlier (28 September 2025)
50%
Day 72 or earlier (29 September 2025)
50%
Day 73 or earlier (30 September 2025)
50%
Day 74 or earlier (1 October 2025)
50%
Day 75 or earlier (2 October 2025)
63%
Day 76 or earlier (3 October 2025)
50%
Day 77 or earlier (4 October 2025)
50%
Day 78 or earlier (5 October 2025)
50%
Day 79 or earlier (6 October 2025)
50%
Day 80 or earlier (7 October 2025)
50%
Day 81 or earlier (8 October 2025)
59%
Day 82 or earlier (9 October 2025)
59%
Day 83 or earlier (10 October 2025)
When the first day of FOLDED begins with five or fewer players remaining, each option resolves YES if that day of FOLDED was on or before the option's listed date in UTC.
If FOLDED continues to have more than five players past the listed date, the option will resolve NO.
The host does not count as a player.
I will periodically add days to this market if the no one gets eliminated for long enough.
As of September 12, 2025, there are 7 players remaining.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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