Will any living self-identified EA donate an eye by 2030?
11
130
Ṁ228Ṁ348
2029
18%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The first eye transplant has recently taken place, though as of writing it’s not sure the recipient will be able to see again. But the technology is developing and presumably two people with one eye each are better off than one person with both eyes. Hence the consequentialist case for living eye donations should work analogously to living kidney donations.
This resolves YES if anyone self-identifying with effective altruism voluntarily donates at least one eye to someone else while alive by close. The transplantation does not have to be successful, but the eye has to be removed. A voluntary donation of part of the eye (e.g. a live corneal transplantation) also counts. I will also include people identifying as “EA-adjacent” or similar.
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